Myriad Predicts 82% Chance Strategy Will Sell Some Bitcoin Holdings in 2026
Prediction market Myriad now indicates an 82% probability that Michael Saylor's firm Strategy will sell some of its Bitcoin holdings this year. The odds surged after Saylor stated during a Q1 earnings call that the firm would 'probably sell some Bitcoin to fund a dividend just to inoculate the market.' This marks a notable shift from his previous mantra of 'never sell your Bitcoin,' as the company faces market pressure and a $12.54 billion net loss due to BTC price declines. Strategy holds over 818,000 BTC valued above $65 billion, accumulated over six years. Saylor's comments, echoed by CEO Phong Le, emphasize that selling Bitcoin is an option when advantageous to the company. The firm's strategy appears to be evolving to manage liabilities and counter skepticism, with Saylor telling Fortune that they must demonstrate willingness to trade Bitcoin to meet obligations or buy back stock. For wallet and key holders, this development underscores the risks of concentrated crypto holdings and the potential for major institutional players to shift strategy under market conditions. It highlights the importance of diversification and not assuming any entity's long-term commitment to HODLing. The sentiment may also influence market dynamics, as a sale by Strategy could impact Bitcoin prices and investor confidence.
Key facts
- Myriad predicts 82% chance Strategy sells Bitcoin in 2026.
- Saylor said firm will 'probably sell some Bitcoin to inoculate the market.'
- Strategy holds 818,000+ BTC worth over $65 billion.
- Firm posted $12.54 billion Q1 net loss due to unrealized BTC losses.
- Saylor's stance shifts from 'never sell' to 'buy more than you sell.'